Latest Pre-Poll Survey For All Party For Lok Sabha Election 2019

March 17, 2019

Notification for the Lok Sabha elections in India from April 11, 2019 to 19th May, 2019 has been issued. Since then, all political parties have been preparing to contest elections. Many parties are making different combinations and are coming to the polls. Between all these, a big news channel has conducted pre-election surveys through the most reliable survey agency. This pre-poll survey report is as follows.

  • UPA (Congress + DMK + RJD + JMM + NCP + JDS + AAP + etc.) – 250-280
  • NDA (BJP + Shiv Sena + JDU + AJSU + AIDMK + Apna Dal + etc.) – 150-170
  • 3rd Front Alliance (TMC + SP + BSP + BJD + TRS + TDP + Etc.) – 115-125
  • Others (Left Parties + Independent + Other local parties) – 25-30
  • In this survey Congress will get big victory in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Punjab, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh and Assam states. Whereas Congress is likely to get good growth in Maharashtra, Bihar, Jharkhand, Delhi, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Jammu & Kashmir and North-Eastern India under UPA coalition.

    The Bharatiya Janata Party is expected to get a good number of seats in Gujarat, Haryana, Uttarakhand state. While the rest of the other states are likely to get some seats. The BJP may have to bear the big loss in Uttar Pradesh, where the BJP is likely to get only ten seats.

    There is a possibility of getting the major victory of SP-BSP-RLD coalition in Uttar Pradesh. This coalition is estimated to get at least 55 seats. After start Priyanka Gandhi’s campaign, the popularity of the Congress in Uttar Pradesh has increased. In Uttar Pradesh, Congress is likely to win 15 seats. If the Congress wins even more seats from here, the BJP seats will loose more seats.

    Trinamool Congress’s strong possibility of unilateral victory in West Bengal. There the BJP does not expect to get a single seat.

    In Maharashtra, BJP-Shiv Sena coalition can win some urban areas. But the Congress-NCP alliance will win the most seats, there is such a possibility. After the bridge accident in Mumbai, there is a lot of resentment against the BJP-Shiv Sena coalition in Mumbai. Marathas have also said that they will not vote for the BJP-Shiv Sena.

    There is no wave of BJP in five states of South India (Karnataka, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana). The hope of winning BJP in these five states is very weak.

    Giving Indian citizenship to Bangladeshi infiltrators, there is tremendous resentment against the BJP in all the states of the northeast. Therefore, there is a possibility of voting in the opposition of BJP only.

    Local political parties in Odisha, Kerala, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana states will win the most seats.

    ‘Nota’ can be a major contributor to BJP getting lesser votes. The people of upper caste are very angry with the BJP on many issues, such as unemployment, 13 point roster cases, SC/ST act, inflation, GST etc. Because of the ‘Nota’ factor, the vote of BJP can be reduced by 25% to 30%.

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